I know who *won't* win the 2012 presidential election:

Mitt Romney. John Podhoretz makes the case:

The one-term Massachusetts governor is speaking at CPAC right now. He’s offering lots of good applause lines. Sounding very right-wing. Mitt Romney cannot be the Republican nominee for president and he cannot be president. He is the author, in his Massachusetts health-care program, of the individual mandate that is the heart and soul of ObamaCare.

If he runs, and he will, his origination of this policy will give his opponents in the primaries a stick so large to beat him with that no amount of clever one-liners purchased from high-paid freelance political speechwriters and joke writers will be able to mitigate the damage. And that’s to say nothing of Obama talking throughout 2012 about how he doesn’t understand what the Republicans are complaining about — one of their lead candidates agrees with him!

Choosing Mitt Romney as the Republican presidential nominee makes a breathtakingly audacious strategy available to candidate Obama: running to the Right of his opponent on health care! Obama will tell the country that it wasn't his fault that he got "logrolled" by the most viciously partisan Congress in modern history while pointing out that Romneycare makes Romney a "true believer" for the individual mandate.

That such a strategy virtually ensures that Obama will be reelected is without question.